CO129-481 - Governor Sir Stubbs - 1923 [8-12] — Page 525

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gaididymovo Jadi shærð daliriɑ to bita quofeɔ akit ko odvozajni

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„Isteneü-Irano♪ .* .8 .H

. HOTMAD

7. The remark about bombardment was obviously rhetorical,

mentioned only as an absurdity. That he was anxious about was the threat of a blockade. His letter means "Blockade Canton and

I will blockade Hongkong", using "blockade' in the sense in which

you use it.

This leads to 8. I do not regard the threat as an empty one. He can cut off the trade of Hongkong, if he has the requisite popular support. You think he has not. I will not assert dogmatically that he has but there is at least a consider- able chance of it and I held that the risk is too great to run

wantonly and inadvisedly.

I see that the labour guilds in Canton are proposing to hold public meetings which suggests that he still has consider- able support among them. Green of the N.C.Daily News tells me that his following in Shanghai is very large. The Government of the Straits Settlements has no doubt of his power over the Chines there and from all i hear his influence over the Chinese in

America and Australia is as great as over,

As to the 'enormous reduction', that is Sun's expression not mine. That he means is that in his letter of December 4th, 'defining afresh the position' he claimed to control all the Customs revenues, leaving it to Peking to pay the loan charges from other revenues. He is now willing to have a proportionate share of those charges deducted.

I imagine that the claim to arrears was thrown in on the principle of claiming everything possible in order to have something to negotiatewith. If the rest of his proposal was accepted, he would doubtless drop this.

The idea that Great Britain is taking the lead is Sun's. It doesn't matter whether it is correct or not. The serious thing is that he either believes it or pretends to in order that he may claim that he is justified in hitting back at the easiest person to hit, which is Hongkong.

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